Kirk Goldsberry
Basketball analytics writer and visual analyst, contributor to The Ringer
Kirk Goldsberry (Basketball analytics writer and visual analyst, contributor to The Ringer) has appeared as a guest on 4 episodes in TMT. Topics they speak about most include San Antonio Spurs, New York Knicks, Giannis Antetokounmpo trade speculation.
In their words
Positions and remarks grouped by topic, each with the exact quote and where it was said.
San Antonio Spurs
Goldsberry argues Wembanyama has a conditioning problem that shows late in games.
“it does look like it to me that Victor has a conditioning challenge ahead of him too. And these late games kind of prove it”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: A Knicks Miracle (and an All-Time Spurs Collapse), a Mini-Mailbag, and a World Cup Preview | With Joe House, Kirk Goldsberry, Anthony Dabbundo, and Cousin Sal (Jun 11, 2026) · Listen from 29:00
Goldsberry criticizes De'Aaron Fox's late-game play, questioning his Clutch Player of the Year award.
“I can't believe that guy won Clutch Player of the Year watching him down the stretch in this game”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: A Knicks Miracle (and an All-Time Spurs Collapse), a Mini-Mailbag, and a World Cup Preview | With Joe House, Kirk Goldsberry, Anthony Dabbundo, and Cousin Sal (Jun 11, 2026) · Listen from 4:58
Goldsberry states that opponents have posted an offensive rating of 99.2 when Wembanyama is on the court in the playoffs, which would rank as the league's worst offense.
“in these playoffs, when he's on the court, the opponents have an offensive rating of 99.2”
Pardon My Take: NBA Finals With Kirk Goldsberry, FSU Head Coach Luke Loucks, Myles Garrett To The Rams + Memes Vs Zac (Jun 3, 2026) · Listen from 1:20:45
Goldsberry argues the Spurs have the league's best young trio in Wembanyama, Castle and Harper.
“I think the San Antonio Spurs now have the best young trio in the league by far with Wemby, Castle, and Harper”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: Wemby Gets Revenge, Morey’s Out, and a Trade-Fueled Mega-Mailbag With Kirk Goldsberry and David Jacoby (May 13, 2026) · Listen from 4:25
New York Knicks
Goldsberry credits the hiring of Mike Brown as a key reason the Knicks reached this level.
“I think the Knicks are at this level because they made Mike Brown the head coach, and I think that deserves a little respect here right now, too”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: A Knicks Miracle (and an All-Time Spurs Collapse), a Mini-Mailbag, and a World Cup Preview | With Joe House, Kirk Goldsberry, Anthony Dabbundo, and Cousin Sal (Jun 11, 2026) · Listen from 19:43
Goldsberry says a Knicks title would elevate Jalen Brunson to Derek Jeter-like folklore status in New York.
“He would be elevated to folklore status immediately because this would be the most important championship in New York in a very, very long time”
Pardon My Take: NBA Finals With Kirk Goldsberry, FSU Head Coach Luke Loucks, Myles Garrett To The Rams + Memes Vs Zac (Jun 3, 2026) · Listen from 1:43:44
Goldsberry says Karl-Anthony Towns avoiding foul trouble is the key X-factor for the Knicks.
“If cat has the series of his life and is not getting in foul trouble, that's going to be really, really important”
Pardon My Take: NBA Finals With Kirk Goldsberry, FSU Head Coach Luke Loucks, Myles Garrett To The Rams + Memes Vs Zac (Jun 3, 2026) · Listen from 1:37:23
Goldsberry argues that shooting threes is the best way to attack Wembanyama, which favors the Knicks' five-out offense.
“You know, I think the best thing you can do is shoot threes. I mean, it's that basic”
Pardon My Take: NBA Finals With Kirk Goldsberry, FSU Head Coach Luke Loucks, Myles Garrett To The Rams + Memes Vs Zac (Jun 3, 2026) · Listen from 1:24:19
Giannis Antetokounmpo trade speculation
Goldsberry reported hearing that Orlando has been active in pursuing Giannis, though they lack picks after the Desmond Bane trade.
“somebody who knows stuff told me that Orlando has actually been very active in seeking out Giannis Antetokounmpo services”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: NBA Hot Takes, OKC’s Red Flag, and Giannis vs. Father Time With Kirk Goldsberry and Joe House (Mar 26, 2026) · Listen from 1:11:50
- Prediction · due Mar 2027
Goldsberry predicted some team will overpay for Giannis relative to the risk involved.
“I think that somebody will probably overpay for the amount of risk they'll have to absorb to add Giannis Antetokounmpo to their roster”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: NBA Hot Takes, OKC’s Red Flag, and Giannis vs. Father Time With Kirk Goldsberry and Joe House (Mar 26, 2026) · Listen from 1:18:57
Goldsberry cited that Giannis has been fouled more than 6,500 times in the player-tracking era, more than any other player.
“he's been fouled 6,500 times. He's the only player that has been fouled more than 6,000 times”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: NBA Hot Takes, OKC’s Red Flag, and Giannis vs. Father Time With Kirk Goldsberry and Joe House (Mar 26, 2026) · Listen from 1:05:04
Goldsberry compared the aging bet on Giannis to Rob Gronkowski rather than Tom Brady and said history warns against paying a big man into his mid-30s.
“this isn't Tom Brady at 32. This is Gronk at 32. And it's not just the miles on the car”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: NBA Hot Takes, OKC’s Red Flag, and Giannis vs. Father Time With Kirk Goldsberry and Joe House (Mar 26, 2026) · Listen from 1:04:33
2026 NBA playoffs
- Didn’t happen
Goldsberry predicts the San Antonio Spurs will win the NBA Finals in seven games.
“I am picking the San Antonio Spurs in seven games”
Pardon My Take: NBA Finals With Kirk Goldsberry, FSU Head Coach Luke Loucks, Myles Garrett To The Rams + Memes Vs Zac (Jun 3, 2026) · Listen from 1:48:53
Goldsberry contends officials allow far more contact on interior players like Wembanyama than on attacking guards.
“Like, you cannot lay a finger on an attacking guard in this league”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: Wemby Gets Revenge, Morey’s Out, and a Trade-Fueled Mega-Mailbag With Kirk Goldsberry and David Jacoby (May 13, 2026) · Listen from 26:33
Goldsberry considers Wembanyama and Gilgeous-Alexander the two best players in the world.
“Wemby and Shea, to me, they're the two best players in the world right now”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: Wemby Gets Revenge, Morey’s Out, and a Trade-Fueled Mega-Mailbag With Kirk Goldsberry and David Jacoby (May 13, 2026) · Listen from 23:34
Philadelphia 76ers
Goldsberry says no GM should trade for Embiid given his age and contract, setting his games-played line for next season at 43.5.
“no GM should be trading for Joel Embiid at this phase of his career with the amount of money that is owed”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: Wemby Gets Revenge, Morey’s Out, and a Trade-Fueled Mega-Mailbag With Kirk Goldsberry and David Jacoby (May 13, 2026) · Listen from 1:25:18
Goldsberry credits Morey and Mike D'Antoni's Houston teams with changing the league through the three-point shot.
“it was Mike and Daryl building that whole team around the three-point shot that changed this league forever”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: Wemby Gets Revenge, Morey’s Out, and a Trade-Fueled Mega-Mailbag With Kirk Goldsberry and David Jacoby (May 13, 2026) · Listen from 35:51
Goldsberry blames Morey's firing primarily on the Paul George and Joel Embiid contracts.
“if I had to hang it on something bill i would say those two contracts the paul george and joelle mb that's what got it done”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: Wemby Gets Revenge, Morey’s Out, and a Trade-Fueled Mega-Mailbag With Kirk Goldsberry and David Jacoby (May 13, 2026) · Listen from 31:36
Oklahoma City Thunder
Goldsberry observes Gilgeous-Alexander's popularity outside Oklahoma City is unusually low for so dominant a player.
“his approval rating outside of his home market seems to be the lowest we've seen for a player who is that dominant”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: Wemby Gets Revenge, Morey’s Out, and a Trade-Fueled Mega-Mailbag With Kirk Goldsberry and David Jacoby (May 13, 2026) · Listen from 1:41:31
Goldsberry argued the Thunder's biggest playoff red flag is Jalen Williams not performing at his prior level as the clear number two option.
“I think one of the reasons they didn't win last night is because J-Dub wasn't simply at the level we expect him to be at”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: NBA Hot Takes, OKC’s Red Flag, and Giannis vs. Father Time With Kirk Goldsberry and Joe House (Mar 26, 2026) · Listen from 5:20
NBA Most Valuable Player Award
Goldsberry said Gilgeous-Alexander's mid-range and three-level scoring make him the best guard of his generation, though he dislikes the foul baiting.
“his ability to score at all three levels as a guard is the best in class by far of his generation at the rim, in the mid-range, and beyond the arc”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: NBA Hot Takes, OKC’s Red Flag, and Giannis vs. Father Time With Kirk Goldsberry and Joe House (Mar 26, 2026) · Listen from 58:50
Goldsberry argued Victor Wembanyama is the most impactful player in the NBA and therefore the MVP.
“This is the most impactful player in the NBA right now is Victor Wemby Yama”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: NBA Hot Takes, OKC’s Red Flag, and Giannis vs. Father Time With Kirk Goldsberry and Joe House (Mar 26, 2026) · Listen from 45:42
Houston Rockets
Goldsberry said Amen Thompson has regressed and currently ranks last among 216 high-volume jump shooters in the NBA.
“he's arguably the worst shooter in the NBA right now. He has the worst jump shooting efficiency and the worst shot-making impact in the entire NBA”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: NBA Hot Takes, OKC’s Red Flag, and Giannis vs. Father Time With Kirk Goldsberry and Joe House (Mar 26, 2026) · Listen from 42:01
Goldsberry noted Houston has ranked 22nd in offense since January 1 despite having Kevin Durant.
“they've ranked 22nd in the NBA in offense for half the season, Bill”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: NBA Hot Takes, OKC’s Red Flag, and Giannis vs. Father Time With Kirk Goldsberry and Joe House (Mar 26, 2026) · Listen from 32:28
2026 NBA Finals
Goldsberry recommends the Spurs aggressively target Jalen Brunson on defense with their attacking guards.
“I would isolate and attack Jalen Brunson in drive situations”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: A Knicks Miracle (and an All-Time Spurs Collapse), a Mini-Mailbag, and a World Cup Preview | With Joe House, Kirk Goldsberry, Anthony Dabbundo, and Cousin Sal (Jun 11, 2026) · Listen from 31:37
2026 NBA draft
Goldsberry says NBA teams' statistical draft models rank Cameron Boozer first.
“When you look at the draft models, PFT, that all the stats dudes are building at these NBA teams, Boozer comes up number one”
Pardon My Take: NBA Finals With Kirk Goldsberry, FSU Head Coach Luke Loucks, Myles Garrett To The Rams + Memes Vs Zac (Jun 3, 2026) · Listen from 1:47:40
NBA trade speculation
Goldsberry predicts the Spurs will trade De'Aaron Fox for a younger, stronger wing.
“the Spurs are going to trade De'Aaron Fox. And I think they are going to get another younger wing strong player”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: Wemby Gets Revenge, Morey’s Out, and a Trade-Fueled Mega-Mailbag With Kirk Goldsberry and David Jacoby (May 13, 2026) · Listen from 1:52:37
Kevin Durant's legacy
Goldsberry calls Durant the best scorer the NBA has seen since Michael Jordan.
“he's the best scorer, in my opinion, the NBA has seen since Michael Jordan”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: Wemby Gets Revenge, Morey’s Out, and a Trade-Fueled Mega-Mailbag With Kirk Goldsberry and David Jacoby (May 13, 2026) · Listen from 1:37:52
Indiana Pacers
Goldsberry, drawing on small-market experience, says he would not have made the Pacers' Zubac trade risking a lottery pick.
“Don't give up a lottery pick if you're the Indiana Pacers”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: Wemby Gets Revenge, Morey’s Out, and a Trade-Fueled Mega-Mailbag With Kirk Goldsberry and David Jacoby (May 13, 2026) · Listen from 57:31
2026 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament
- Came true
Goldsberry said Purdue is probably the safer bet over Texas in their Sweet 16 matchup.
“As much as I'd love to pick the Longhorns, I think the Boilermakers are probably a safe bet tonight”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: NBA Hot Takes, OKC’s Red Flag, and Giannis vs. Father Time With Kirk Goldsberry and Joe House (Mar 26, 2026) · Listen from 1:27:17
Aging curves in professional basketball
Goldsberry said his plotting of aging curves shows the best modern big men all peak at age 30 and decline quickly.
“They all peak at 30. They all peak at 30. It's apex mountain at age 30. And not only that, the second biggest feature of these curves is they go down fast”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: NBA Hot Takes, OKC’s Red Flag, and Giannis vs. Father Time With Kirk Goldsberry and Joe House (Mar 26, 2026) · Listen from 1:06:30
Predictions
1 came true · 2 didn’t · 1 pending
- Didn’t happen
Goldsberry predicts the San Antonio Spurs will win the NBA Finals in seven games.
“I am picking the San Antonio Spurs in seven games”
Pardon My Take: NBA Finals With Kirk Goldsberry, FSU Head Coach Luke Loucks, Myles Garrett To The Rams + Memes Vs Zac (Jun 3, 2026) · Listen from 1:48:53 · 2026 NBA playoffs
Goldsberry picked the San Antonio Spurs to win the 2026 NBA Finals in seven games. Instead, the New York Knicks beat the Spurs 4-1, clinching with a 94-90 Game 5 win in San Antonio on June 13, 2026, and Jalen Brunson was named Finals MVP.
Sources: Knicks clinch first NBA title in 53 years, as Brunson shines against Spurs · Recap: Knicks win the 2026 NBA championship, defeating Spurs in five games · NBA Playoffs 2026: Knicks clinch first NBA title since 1973 with another comeback victory over Spurs · Jalen Brunson wins Bill Russell trophy as 2026 NBA Finals MVP
Checked Oct 6, 2026
- Came true
Goldsberry said Purdue is probably the safer bet over Texas in their Sweet 16 matchup.
“As much as I'd love to pick the Longhorns, I think the Boilermakers are probably a safe bet tonight”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: NBA Hot Takes, OKC’s Red Flag, and Giannis vs. Father Time With Kirk Goldsberry and Joe House (Mar 26, 2026) · Listen from 1:27:17 · 2026 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament
Goldsberry picked Purdue over Texas in their Sweet 16 game on March 26, 2026, and Purdue (the 2 seed) won 79-77 at SAP Center in San Jose. The winning basket was Trey Kaufman-Renn's putback in the final second, after Texas had tied the game with an and-one in the last 30 seconds. The game was closer than 'safe bet' implies, but the prediction was only about who would win.
Sources: Men's Basketball falls to No. 8/13 Purdue, 79-77, in NCAA Sweet 16 - University of Texas Athletics · Texas vs. Purdue box score: Full stats from 2026 March Madness Sweet 16 game - Yahoo Sports
Checked Sep 28, 2026
- Prediction · due Mar 2027
Goldsberry predicted some team will overpay for Giannis relative to the risk involved.
“I think that somebody will probably overpay for the amount of risk they'll have to absorb to add Giannis Antetokounmpo to their roster”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: NBA Hot Takes, OKC’s Red Flag, and Giannis vs. Father Time With Kirk Goldsberry and Joe House (Mar 26, 2026) · Listen from 1:18:57 · Giannis Antetokounmpo trade speculation
- Didn’t happen
Goldsberry said the loss reestablished Boston as the best team in the Eastern Conference and that they can win the East.
“this game really reestablished the Boston Celtics as the best team, at least in the Eastern Conference”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: NBA Hot Takes, OKC’s Red Flag, and Giannis vs. Father Time With Kirk Goldsberry and Joe House (Mar 26, 2026) · Listen from 13:13 · Boston Celtics
Boston didn't win the East and didn't prove to be its best team. Detroit was the No. 1 seed, and the Celtics lost their first-round series to Philadelphia, falling 109-100 in Game 7 on May 2, 2026. The New York Knicks swept Cleveland 4-0 to win the East and then beat San Antonio 4-1 for the title.
Sources: Celtics' 32-0 Playoff Streak Ends with Game 7 Loss to 76ers Without Tatum - Yahoo Sports · NBA Playoffs 2026: Schedule, results, and scores - full list · 2026 NBA Finals - Wikipedia · NBA Playoff Bracket 2026, Updated Picture, Schedule After 76ers Eliminate Celtics
Checked Oct 6, 2026
Appearances
A Knicks Miracle (and an All-Time Spurs Collapse), a Mini-Mailbag, and a World Cup Preview | With Joe House, Kirk Goldsberry, Anthony Dabbundo, and Cousin SalThe Bill Simmons Podcast · Jun 11, 2026 · 2 h 1 min
Bill Simmons, Kirk Goldsberry and Joe House dissect the Knicks' 29-point Game 4 comeback over the Spurs, Simmons answers mailbag questions, and Anthony Dabbundo and Cousin Sal preview World Cup bets.
NBA Finals With Kirk Goldsberry, FSU Head Coach Luke Loucks, Myles Garrett To The Rams + Memes Vs ZacPardon My Take · Jun 3, 2026 · 2 h 56 min
The Pardon My Take crew covers the Zach–Memes feud, the Myles Garrett and A.J. Brown trades, and NBA Finals picks, with guests Kirk Goldsberry and FSU coach Luke Loucks.
Wemby Gets Revenge, Morey’s Out, and a Trade-Fueled Mega-Mailbag With Kirk Goldsberry and David JacobyThe Bill Simmons Podcast · May 13, 2026 · 2 h 4 min
Bill Simmons and Kirk Goldsberry break down the Spurs' Game 5 win and Daryl Morey's firing, then join David Jacoby for an NBA mailbag and trade predictions.
NBA Hot Takes, OKC’s Red Flag, and Giannis vs. Father Time With Kirk Goldsberry and Joe HouseThe Bill Simmons Podcast · Mar 26, 2026 · 1 h 36 min
Bill Simmons, Kirk Goldsberry and Joe House debate OKC's vulnerabilities, All-NBA cases, Houston's bad vibes and whether any team should trade for Giannis.
Often appears with
- Bill Simmons · 3 shared episodes
- Joe House · 2 shared episodes
- Cousin Sal · 1 shared episode
- Anthony Dabbundo · 1 shared episode
- Dan Katz · 1 shared episode
- PFT Commenter · 1 shared episode
- Luke Loucks · 1 shared episode
- Hank Lockwood · 1 shared episode