Predictions
When someone on a podcast predicts something checkable, like an election, a price, a release or a result, it’s logged here with the exact quote and a date by which we’ll know. When that date passes, the prediction is checked against public sources and the verdict is recorded here, with the sources linked.
21 past their date and being checked now.
Track record
People with at least three checked predictions. A partly true prediction counts as half.
| Person | Came true | Didn’t | Partly | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Oshry | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Hank Lockwood | 3 | 1 | 0 | 75% |
| Dan Katz | 5 | 2 | 0 | 71% |
| Ryan Whitney | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% |
| Bill Simmons | 11 | 9 | 3 | 54% |
| Shane Bacon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 50% |
| PFT Commenter | 4 | 5 | 1 | 45% |
| Zach Lowe | 1 | 3 | 2 | 33% |
| Anthony Dabbundo | 1 | 2 | 0 | 33% |
| Kirk Goldsberry | 1 | 2 | 0 | 33% |
| Joe House | 1 | 2 | 0 | 33% |
Recently checked
- Came trueClayton Echard
Echard predicted Owens would wait until the final August 28 deadline to decide on the plea.
“She's going to wait until the last minute because she's just wants to drag this out because she knows that it only harms us”
Love Trapped: Not Over Yet | EP 15 (Jul 9, 2026) · Listen from 31:46 · Plea bargaining
Owens's plea offer was extended to expire on August 28, 2026, the same day as her settlement conference. She pleaded guilty to four felonies that day, after reportedly at first refusing to come out of the judge's chambers. Echard's prediction that she would decide at the last minute matches what happened; his claim about her motive was not judged.
Sources: Laura Owens pleads guilty to four felonies in "Bachelor" fraud case with 10 counts dismissed - KTAR · Laura Owens pleads guilty in fraud case involving former 'Bachelor' star - 12News · Indictment News - Laura Owens Indicted · Laura Owens left court with no plea deal as 'Bachelor' star spoke out - AOL
Checked Oct 10, 2026
- Came trueWill Sommer
Sommer predicts James Fishback will not win the Florida Republican primary despite drawing larger crowds than Byron Donalds.
“i don't think he's going to win but if you look at you know byron donald's events kind of lackluster”
Pod Save America: The Splintering MAGA Media Rage Machine (Jun 7, 2026) · Listen from 56:00 · 2026 Florida gubernatorial election
James Fishback lost the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary. He finished third with about 10.4% of the vote, behind Byron Donalds (about 47.9%) and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins (about 25.1%). Donalds was projected the winner.
Sources: Becker Spotlight: Comprehensive Analysis: Florida Primary Election Results · Florida Governor Primary Election 2026 Live Results: Donalds, Jolly, Collins and More · Florida governor primary results
Checked Oct 10, 2026
- Partly trueRich Lowry
Lowry predicts the Iran memorandum will not be resolved within its 60-day window and will be extended.
“Certainly this is not going to be resolved in 60 days. There's going to be an extension”
The Megyn Kelly Show: Michelle Obama Upstages Barack, Euros Love America, and 2028 Rumblings, with Rich Lowry and Charles C.W. Cooke | Ep. 1341 (Jun 17, 2026) · Listen from 5:32 · United States war with Iran
As Lowry predicted, the US-Iran memorandum signed June 17, 2026 was not resolved: its 60-day window expired on August 17, 2026 with no final deal. His prediction of an extension proved wrong. Pakistani sources told Anadolu on August 12 that the two sides had agreed to extend it, but Iran denied any talks on an extension, and on August 17 Trump said 'No' when asked if he would extend it. Kurdistan24 reported the deadline passed with no agreed extension.
Sources: US-Iran Peace Prospects Dim as Trump Rejects Truce Extension - Bloomberg · US rules out Iran truce extension as Tehran official sets new deadline - Iran International · The 60-Day US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding Expires Today With No Final Deal - Kurdistan24 · US-Iran talks hit impasse as MoU's 60-day deadline expires - Jerusalem Post · US, Iran agree to extend 60-day ceasefire ahead of Aug. 17 deadline - Anadolu
Checked Oct 10, 2026
- Didn’t happenJon Favreau
Favreau predicts David Crowley is very unlikely to win the Wisconsin Democratic primary and that his re-entry may ensure Francesca Hong wins.
“It's almost impossible that David Crowley is going to win this”
Pod Save America: The Primaries Will Continue Until Morale Improves (Jul 21, 2026) · Listen from 46:47 · 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election
Contrary to the prediction that Crowley was almost certain to lose and that his re-entry would help Francesca Hong win, David Crowley won the August 11, 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, according to the AP race call. He got 39.8% of the vote and beat Hong by about 0.4 percentage points, even though polls a week earlier showed him trailing by nearly 20 points.
Sources: Crowley wins Wisconsin's 2026 Democratic primary for governor in a photo finish (PBS Wisconsin/AP) · In Wisconsin, David Crowley defeats Francesca Hong in Democratic primary for governor (NPR) · Wisconsin race upset: Key takeaways from US primary election results (Al Jazeera) · 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election (Wikipedia)
Checked Oct 10, 2026
- Can’t be judgedMichael Knowles
Knowles predicted the truth about McConnell's condition would not emerge until around August 3.
“we're probably not going to find out until my estimate would be August 3rd”
The Megyn Kelly Show: Lindsey Graham's Legacy, McConnell's "Proof of Life," and the Robinson Video You DIDN'T See, with Knowles, Posobiec, and Fitz | Ep. 1358 (Jul 13, 2026) · Listen from 33:39 · Mitch McConnell health concerns
Knowles did not define what 'the truth' about McConnell's condition meant. McConnell's office said on July 12, 2026 that a fall and pneumonia caused his hospitalization, gave another update about 10 days before August 6, and said on August 6 that he had left rehab to recover at home, but critics still questioned his transparency. Because no clear revelation happened on or around August 3, the estimate cannot be confirmed or refuted.
Sources: Mitch McConnell has been hospitalized for a month and his team won't say why. Here's what we know · Mitch McConnell says he was hospitalized due to a fall and contracted pneumonia - The Washington Post · US Senator McConnell says he's been discharged from rehabilitation centre · Mitch McConnell Proof of Life Photo Sparks A.I. Conspiracy Theories
Checked Oct 10, 2026
- Came trueBen Soffer
Soffer predicted Trinity and Bryce would win the season, citing the support of Bryce's mother and grandmother.
“I think it's Trinity and Bryce. I think that bringing Bryce's mom and grandma coming, it's such a green flag”
The Toast: Miscellaneous Summer Treats with BSC: Friday, July 10th, 2026 (Jul 10, 2026) · Listen from 1:29:59 · Love Island USA
Bryce Dettloff and Trinity Tatum ("Brinity") won Love Island USA Season 8 by the public's final vote in the Peacock finale on July 12, 2026. They took the $100,000 prize ahead of runners-up Aniya Harvey and Carl Schmidt, well within the July 31, 2026 deadline.
Sources: 'Love Island USA' crowns Season 8 winners, sets Aug. 31 reunion - UPI.com · 'Love Island USA' Season 8 Crowns Its Winners
Checked Oct 10, 2026
- Came trueJackie Oshry
Jackie Oshry predicted that Bryce and Trinity would reunite and win the season.
“Bryce and Trinity like very much are very into each other. And they will win. They will come back to each other”
The Toast: Bloodlines: Wednesday, June 24th, 2026 (Jun 24, 2026) · Listen from 1:00:08 · Love Island USA
After being separated during Casa Amor, Bryce Dettloff and Trinity Tatum got back together and became the season's first official couple. Viewers then voted them the Love Island USA Season 8 winners, announced at the July 12, 2026 finale, before the July 31 deadline.
Sources: Who Won the 'Love Island USA' Season 8 Finale? All the Biggest Moments as Winners Split Prize · After Leaving the 'Love Island USA' Villa, Trinity Says She Plans to Be "Wherever Bryce Is" · Bryce & Trinity's Relationship on Love Island USA: Ages, Jobs, More
Checked Oct 10, 2026
- Partly trueJason Bateman
Bateman states that I Want Your Sex will be released on July 23.
“So I want your sex comes out July 23rd, which is in about 10 days from this air date here”
SmartLess: "Olivia Wilde" (Jul 13, 2026) · Listen from 58:33 · I Want Your Sex (film)
Bateman said I Want Your Sex would come out July 23, 2026, but Magnolia had set its US theatrical release for July 31, 2026 back in March. The film opened on July 31, eight days after the date he gave. The January 23 date was its Sundance premiere, not a theatrical release.
Sources: 'I Want Your Sex' Release Date: Olivia Wilde-Cooper Hoffman Pic Vs. 'Spider-Man' (Deadline) · I Want Your Sex (film) - Wikipedia · I Want Your Sex (2026) - Box Office and Financial Information
Checked Oct 10, 2026
- Came trueRupert Lowe
Lowe says Andy Burnham is expected to become prime minister by 20 July.
“And he's apparently going to be anointed as prime minister soon”
The Joe Rogan Experience: #2524 - Rupert Lowe (Jul 8, 2026) · Listen from 1:59:32
Andy Burnham was elected Labour leader unopposed on 17 July 2026 with 379 MP nominations. On 20 July 2026, the deadline date, he was formally appointed prime minister by King Charles III, succeeding Keir Starmer.
Sources: Andy Burnham officially becomes British prime minister (CBC News) · Andy Burnham becomes Britain's 7th prime minister in a decade after Keir Starmer resigns (Washington Times) · How do Labour Party leadership contests work? (Institute for Government) · Andy Burnham announced as new Labour leader after unopposed contest (LabourList) · Premiership of Andy Burnham (Wikipedia)
Checked Oct 10, 2026
- Came trueJeff Kaplan
Kaplan said Kintsugiyama aimed to put The Legend of California into a public-ish alpha in March, followed by early access.
“I think we are shooting to have some sort of public-ish alpha in... March”
Lex Fridman Podcast: #493 – Jeff Kaplan: World of Warcraft, Overwatch, Blizzard, and Future of Gaming (Mar 11, 2026) · Listen from 4:57:40 · The Legend of California
Kintsugiyama ran The Legend of California's first public alpha on Steam from March 26 to March 30, 2026, with sign-ups required, which fits Kaplan's 'public-ish' description. The studio later confirmed the March alpha took place. Kaplan gave no date for early access, so only the March alpha was judged.
Sources: The Legend of California Announces Limited PC-Only Playtest for March 26 | Game8 · The Legend of California alpha playtest start time, countdown clock, and how to sign up - PC Guide · Peak California — Kintsugiyama · Ex-Overwatch Dev's New FPS Action Game Opens For Testing Soon, How To Sign Up - GameSpot
Checked Oct 10, 2026
- Came trueChris Ryan
Ryan said he would pick Spain in the final, as he had since before the tournament.
“I'm going to go Spain because it's been Spain for me since before the tournament”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: Messi Takes England Out of the World Cup, Plus Preparing for Christopher Nolan’s 'The Odyssey' With Ian Wright, Anthony Dabbundo, and Sean Fennessey (Jul 16, 2026) · Listen from 47:28 · 2026 FIFA World Cup
Chris Ryan picked Spain to win the 2026 World Cup final. On July 19, 2026, at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey, Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time, with Ferran Torres scoring in the 106th minute. That gave Spain its second World Cup title.
Sources: Spain 1-0 Argentina - FIFA · FIFA World Cup final 2026 highlights: Spain outlasts Argentina 1-0 to win second title - NBC News · Spain wins 2026 FIFA World Cup with grueling 1-0 victory over Argentina - CBS News · Spain defeats Argentina 1-0 to win 2026 World Cup - ABC News
Checked Oct 9, 2026
- Didn’t happenIan Wright
Wright picked Argentina to win the World Cup final.
“I'm probably going to go with Argentina simply because I just feel that they just can't be beat”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: Messi Takes England Out of the World Cup, Plus Preparing for Christopher Nolan’s 'The Odyssey' With Ian Wright, Anthony Dabbundo, and Sean Fennessey (Jul 16, 2026) · Listen from 32:23 · 2026 FIFA World Cup
Wright picked Argentina to win the 2026 World Cup final, but Spain beat them 1-0 after extra time on July 19, 2026, at MetLife Stadium. Ferran Torres scored the only goal in the 106th minute.
Sources: 2026 FIFA World Cup final - Wikipedia · Spain wins 2026 FIFA World Cup with grueling 1-0 victory over Argentina - CBS News
Checked Oct 9, 2026
- Came trueJackie Oshry
Jackie Oshry reiterated her prediction that the World Cup final would be Spain versus Argentina.
“Or Spain versus Argentina, which is what was my prediction”
The Toast: Reale Actives FC: Wednesday, July 15th, 2026 (Jul 15, 2026) · Listen from 12:42 · 2026 FIFA World Cup
The 2026 FIFA World Cup final, played July 19, 2026 at New York New Jersey Stadium, was Spain versus Argentina, as predicted. Spain won 1-0 after extra time with a Ferran Torres goal.
Sources: Spain 1-0 Argentina (Jul 19, 2026) Final Score - ESPN · Spain is the 2026 World Cup champion, defeating Argentina for its 2nd title - NPR
Checked Oct 9, 2026
- Didn’t happenPFT Commenter
PFT Commenter predicts a France–Argentina World Cup final.
“And so I think we're on a collision course for France and Argentina”
Pardon My Take: Tony Romo, Conor McGregor Blows Out His Knee, The World Cup Is All Blue Bloods + Mt Rushmore Of Guys You Want To See Ride A Horse (Jul 13, 2026) · Listen from 23:29 · 2026 FIFA World Cup
The 2026 World Cup final was not France vs. Argentina. Spain beat France 2-0 in the semifinal on July 14, 2026, then beat Argentina 1-0 in extra time in the final on July 19, 2026.
Sources: Spain 1-0 Argentina (Jul 19, 2026) Final Score - ESPN · France 0-2 Spain (Jul 14, 2026) Final Score - ESPN · Spain outplay France to reach final - FIFA · Spain sparkles to shock France 2-0 and advance to the World Cup final - NPR
Checked Oct 9, 2026
- Didn’t happenGary Lineker
Lineker picks England as slight favourites and predicts they will win the World Cup.
“I think England have to be slight favourites. I'm going to go with England”
Pod Save America: Can Soccer Save the World? (Jul 12, 2026) · Listen from 39:03 · 2026 FIFA World Cup
England did not win the 2026 World Cup. Argentina beat them 2-1 in the semi-final on July 15, 2026, and Spain won the final on July 19, 2026, beating Argentina 1-0 after extra time with a 106th-minute goal from Ferran Torres.
Sources: Spain wins 2026 FIFA World Cup with grueling 1-0 victory over Argentina - CBS News · Recap: Argentina eliminates England 2-1 to defend World Cup vs. Spain · England knocked out of World Cup as Argentina come from behind to reach final - Yahoo Sports
Checked Oct 9, 2026
- Didn’t happenTaylor Twellman
Twellman predicted a repeat World Cup final between France and Argentina.
“I think we're going to a repeat, guys. I do. I think it's France against Argentina”
Pardon My Take: Matthew And Brady Tkachuk, Taylor Twellman Talking World Cup, USMNT Sucks At Soccer Again + Mt Rushmore of Aquatic Animals (Jul 8, 2026) · Listen from 2:31:17 · 2026 FIFA World Cup
Twellman predicted a repeat France vs. Argentina final, but Spain beat France 2-0 in the semifinal (July 14, 2026). Spain then beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the July 19, 2026 final at MetLife Stadium. Argentina reached the final, but the predicted matchup did not happen.
Sources: Spain is the 2026 World Cup champion, defeating Argentina for its 2nd title (NPR) · When Will France Play Next After Losing to Spain In the World Cup Semifinal? (Yahoo Sports) · France Eliminated from World Cup After Heartbreaking Semifinal Loss to Spain (Yahoo Sports)
Checked Oct 9, 2026
- Didn’t happenAnthony Dabbundo
Dabbundo predicts the U.S. will win its group, reach the World Cup quarterfinals and lose to Spain.
“US is going to make the quarterfinals and lose to Spain. That is my official prediction”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: NBA Draft Questions, Harper vs. Fox, and the USMNT’s World Cup Ceiling (Jun 19, 2026) · Listen from 2:05:31 · United States men's national soccer team
The U.S. did win its group and beat Bosnia and Herzegovina 2-0 in the round of 32. It then lost 4-1 to Belgium in the round of 16 on July 6, 2026, so it never reached the quarterfinals. Belgium, not the U.S., went on to face Spain in the quarterfinal.
Sources: Live updates: Belgium beats USA 4-1 in World Cup Round of 16 game · World Cup 2026 results: U.S. eliminated from World Cup in lopsided 4-1 defeat to Belgium · USA soccer's 2026 World Cup run ends: Here's USMNT round of 16 history - Yahoo Sports · USMNT's Road to 2026 World Cup Final As Round of 32 Fixtures Set
Checked Oct 9, 2026
- Came trueAnthony Dabbundo
Dabbundo picks Spain to win the World Cup, citing its recent dominance over France.
“by process elimination, I crossed off everybody else and was like, I guess I'm picking Spain”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: A Knicks Miracle (and an All-Time Spurs Collapse), a Mini-Mailbag, and a World Cup Preview | With Joe House, Kirk Goldsberry, Anthony Dabbundo, and Cousin Sal (Jun 11, 2026) · Listen from 1:22:47 · 2026 FIFA World Cup
Dabbundo picked Spain to win the 2026 World Cup, and Spain did. They beat defending champions Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the final on July 19, 2026, in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Ferran Torres scored the winner in the 106th minute, giving Spain its second World Cup title after 2010.
Sources: Spain edge Argentina after extra time to win 2nd World Cup title - ESPN · Spain battle past 10-man Argentina 1-0 in extra time to win 2026 World Cup · 2026 World Cup: Spain 1-0 Argentina (AET): Ferran Torres' extra-time winner secures Spain's second title · Spain wins the World Cup for the second time, defeating Argentina 1-0 in a dramatic final
Checked Oct 9, 2026
- Came trueCousin Sal
Cousin Sal's value pick is for a European team to win the World Cup.
“My value pick, believe it or not, is Europe to win at minus 350”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: A Knicks Miracle (and an All-Time Spurs Collapse), a Mini-Mailbag, and a World Cup Preview | With Joe House, Kirk Goldsberry, Anthony Dabbundo, and Cousin Sal (Jun 11, 2026) · Listen from 1:22:03 · 2026 FIFA World Cup
Cousin Sal bet on a European team winning the 2026 World Cup at -350. Spain won the final on July 19, 2026, beating Argentina 1-0 at MetLife Stadium with a Ferran Torres goal in extra time (106th minute).
Sources: Spain wins 2026 FIFA World Cup with grueling 1-0 victory over Argentina - CBS News · Spain wins the World Cup for the second time, defeating Argentina 1-0 in a dramatic final - CNN
Checked Oct 9, 2026
- Came trueDominic Sandbrook
Sandbrook states that Christopher Nolan's film of The Odyssey was due for release on 17 July.
“Christopher Nolan, by an extraordinary coincidence, has made a film of The Odyssey that is coming out later this week”
The Rest Is History: 687. The Odyssey: Hero of the Trojan Horse (Part 1) (Jul 12, 2026) · Listen from 5:01 · The Odyssey (2026 film)
Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey premiered in London on July 6, 2026, and Universal released it in US and UK cinemas on July 17, 2026, within the week after the July 12 episode. The Hollywood Reporter recorded a $124 million opening weekend.
Sources: The Odyssey (2026 film) - Wikipedia · The Odyssey Box Office: Christopher Nolan Opening at $124 Million
Checked Oct 9, 2026
Coming due
- Prediction · due Oct 2026Hank Lockwood
Lockwood predicted Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum would both remain on the Celtics next season without Giannis Antetokounmpo.
“I do think Jalen Brown and Jason Tatum will be on the Celtics next year without Giannis”
Pardon My Take: Dan Soder, Knicks Whomp The Sixers, The Hungover Episode, Hot Seat/Cool Throne + FAQ’s (May 6, 2026) · Listen from 1:02:54 · Jaylen Brown Twitch stream
- Prediction · due Oct 2026PFT Commenter
PFT Commenter predicts LeBron James will play next season but not for the Lakers.
“now I think that he is going to not be a Laker next year, but he will play in the NBA”
Pardon My Take: Brooks Koepka, PGA Championship With Shane Bacon, Wemby's Revenge, Lebron's Last Game? Plus Guys On Chicks (May 13, 2026) · Listen from 48:49 · Los Angeles Lakers
- Prediction · due Oct 2026Bill Simmons
Simmons predicts Mitchell Robinson will leave the Knicks next year because they cannot afford to pay him $20–25 million.
“You're probably not going to have Mitch next year. He's going to leave because I just don't think they can pay him 20 to 25 million bucks”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: A Finals Pick, Greatest Knicks Ever, ‘Made’ N.Y.C. Stars, and Big NFL Trades With Max Kellerman (Jun 2, 2026) · Listen from 2:01:17 · New York Knicks
- Prediction · due Oct 2026Bill Simmons
Simmons predicted a 50-50 chance that Jaylen Brown is still on the Celtics in October 2026.
“I'm not convinced he's going to be on the team in October, Barrett. I would say it's 50-50”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: Giannis to Miami! An Urgent Gathering Pod With Chris Ryan and Justin Verrier (Jun 23, 2026) · Listen from 21:17 · Jaylen Brown trade rumors
- Prediction · due Oct 2026Zach Lowe
Lowe predicts Jaylen Brown will still be on the 76ers in October despite the role overlap.
“I would bet lots of money that he's on the team in October”
The Bill Simmons Podcast: LeBron’s Philly Shocker! Plus, the 2011 NBA Redraftables With Zach Lowe. (Jul 24, 2026) · Listen from 20:53 · Jaylen Brown trade to the Philadelphia 76ers
- Prediction · due Oct 2026Dan Katz
Katz predicts the White Sox will reach the American League Championship Series.
“I think the White Sox are going to go to the ALCS”
Pardon My Take: CFB With Stanford Steve, Bears QB Case Keenum, Bears Crush The Eagles, Baseball Playoffs And FAQ's (Sep 30, 2026) · Listen from 33:22 · Chicago White Sox
- Prediction · due Nov 2026Joe Kent
Kent predicts the war's effect on gas prices and cost of living will drive voters against the party in power in the midterms.
“they're gonna be like, oh, the party that's in power right now screwed this up. I'm gonna vote for the other guy”
The Shawn Ryan Show: #291 Joe Kent - His Message to President Trump on Ending the War With Iran (Mar 26, 2026) · Listen from 1:32:33 · 2026 United States midterm elections
- Prediction · due Nov 2026Josh Turek
Turek predicts Iowa could flip three congressional seats and provide the 51st Senate seat for Democratic control.
“I believe it's Iowa and we can win this and we can win it with a candidate like me”
Pod Save America: SHOCKING GOP Plan to Fund War with Health Care Cuts (Mar 31, 2026) · Listen from 1:22:00 · 2026 United States midterm elections
- Prediction · due Nov 2026Jon Favreau
Favreau predicted economic sentiment will not improve before Election Day even if the war ends immediately.
“I'm having a hard time imagining that people don't feel worse about the economy than they do today on Election Day”
Pod Save America: Strait Up War Crimes (Apr 7, 2026) · Listen from 37:37 · Gas prices and inflation
- Prediction · due Nov 2026Jon Favreau
Favreau predicted the next California governor will be Steyer, Porter or Swalwell.
“like those are probably one of those three candidates is going to end up being governor”
Pod Save America: Strait Up War Crimes (Apr 7, 2026) · Listen from 1:01:06 · 2026 California gubernatorial election
- Prediction · due Nov 2026Stu Burguiere
Burguiere predicts Katie Porter's gubernatorial campaign will lose.
“to try to get people all fired up to donate to her stupid campaign that is almost definitely going to end in a giant fat loss”
The Megyn Kelly Show: Kimmel's "Widow" Double Standard, Left Celebrates Political Violence, and Newsom's Hypocrisy, with Stu Burguiere | Ep. 1305 (Apr 28, 2026) · Listen from 1:21:25 · 2026 California gubernatorial election
- Prediction · due Nov 2026Zach Wahls
Wahls predicted he would defeat Ashley Hinson in November and become the youngest U.S. senator.
“when we defeat Ashley Henson in November, I will be the youngest member of the U.S. Senate”
Pod Save America: Did Trump's Supreme Court Rig the Midterms? (May 1, 2026) · Listen from 1:09:14 · 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa
- Prediction · due Nov 2026Andy Frisella
Frisella predicts Trump will lose the midterms to the left by failing to deliver on promises.
“Yes, but He is going to hand the midterms over to the left”
REAL AF with Andy Frisella: 1021. Andy & DJ CTI: Trump Assassination Attempt Charges, Food Stamp Recipients Driving Lambos & JPMorgan Executive Sexually Abused (May 1, 2026) · Listen from 35:07 · 2026 United States midterm elections
- Prediction · due Nov 2026Jon Favreau
Favreau predicts Democrats remain favored to win the House, though redistricting could reduce their gains.
“I still think Democrats are favored to win the House, but this definitely could put a dent in the number of seats that we pick up”
Pod Save America: Trump Is Falling. Are Democrats Rising? (May 5, 2026) · Listen from 30:28 · 2026 United States midterm elections
- Prediction · due Nov 2026Dan Pfeiffer
Pfeiffer predicts Democrats would remain favored to win the House majority even if they lose the Virginia redistricting case.
“I still think even if we lost Virginia, I still think Democrats would be favored to take the majority”
Pod Save America: It's One Ballroom, Donald, How Much Could It Cost? (May 8, 2026) · Listen from 42:52 · 2026 United States midterm elections