What Nate Silver has said about Redistricting in the United States

1 quote · 1 episode · Oct 27, 2026

Nate Silver, Elections analyst whose polling model and averages are cited, has been quoted on Redistricting in the United States once in 1 episode of The Ezra Klein Show, most recently on October 27, 2026. Each quote below is verbatim and links to the moment it was said.

In their words

Prediction · due Nov 2026
Silver says that because of redistricting and sorting, his model's 90-percent-plus chance of a Democratic House translates to only about 22 seats gained on average.
“even our model that has them with a 90% plus chance of winning the House that only translates, quote unquote, into 22 seats or something on average”
The Ezra Klein Show: Nate Silver Predicts a ‘Momentous’ Midterm (Oct 27, 2026) · Listen from 34:20

Predictions

Prediction · due Nov 2026
Silver says that because of redistricting and sorting, his model's 90-percent-plus chance of a Democratic House translates to only about 22 seats gained on average.
“even our model that has them with a 90% plus chance of winning the House that only translates, quote unquote, into 22 seats or something on average”
The Ezra Klein Show: Nate Silver Predicts a ‘Momentous’ Midterm (Oct 27, 2026) · Listen from 34:20 · Redistricting in the United States

Episodes

Nate Silver Predicts a ‘Momentous’ Midterm
The Ezra Klein Show · Oct 27, 2026 · 55 min
Ezra Klein and forecaster Nate Silver assess the 2026 midterms a week out, including Democrats' Senate chances, polling reliability, redistricting and Trump's weakening position.

Others on Redistricting in the United States

Eric Holder · 4 quotes
Dan Pfeiffer · 4 quotes
Gina Hinojosa · 2 quotes
Jon Favreau · 2 quotes
Amy Walter · 1 quote
Heather Williams · 1 quote
Tommy Vietor · 1 quote
Megyn Kelly · 1 quote

Nate Silver on other topics

Opinion polling accuracy · 3 quotes
United States war with Iran · 2 quotes
Artificial intelligence · 2 quotes
2026 United States midterm elections · 2 quotes
Campaign finance in the United States · 1 quote
Donald Trump approval rating · 1 quote
Politics of Florida · 1 quote
Gas prices and inflation · 1 quote